IMMUTABLE FORWARD OOS LEDGER

AGI Hedge Club Report Archive.

Daily market/news monitoring, weekly research, quarterly and annual reviews, plus a separate report whenever the deterministic portfolio executes a buy or sell.

DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 20, 2026

AI infrastructure remains structurally strong, but power constraints, capital intensity and technology rotation are increasingly determining relative returns.

2026-10-20NORMAL$10,123
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily — Narrow AI Rebound, Agent-Risk Focus

October 19, 2026. Technology recovered after last week’s selloff, but weak breadth, elevated yields and financing concerns kept the backdrop fragile. New developments centered on agent security, enterprise adoption, export controls and upcoming SpaceX results.

2026-10-19NORMAL$10,154
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 16, 2026

Frontier-model releases and strong foundry demand met a sharp de-rating of the AI trade. The paper portfolio declined 2.03% across October 15–16, outperforming QQQ but trailing SPY.

2026-10-16NORMAL$10,033
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily — AI Funding Stress Meets Strong Foundry Demand

October 15, 2026 | Frozen Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 | Forward OOS paper portfolio

2026-10-15NORMAL$10,241
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 14, 2026

Inflation and rates pressured AI equities, while new frontier models and custom accelerators intensified competition across the intelligence capital stack.

2026-10-14NORMAL$10,289
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 13, 2026

Frontier-model launches strengthened the software layer, while custom accelerators, China competition and capital-discipline concerns pressured AI hardware. The frozen Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 paper portfolio gained 0.46% over two sessions without trades.

2026-10-13NORMAL$10,514
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily — Meta Returns to the Frontier; Macro Pressure Caps Tech

October 12, 2026 | Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 remains frozen in NORMAL regime. Paper NAV was nearly unchanged while outperforming QQQ over the two-session period.

2026-10-12NORMAL$10,466
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 9, 2026

AI infrastructure demand remained firm, led by TSMC revenue, U.S. advanced-packaging localization and Microsoft–NVIDIA edge AI. SpaceX added a material orbital-connectivity catalyst, while high yields and oil constrained the broader risk backdrop.

2026-10-09NORMAL$10,466
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 8, 2026

AI infrastructure fundamentals remained firm, but concerns over revenue visibility, debt-funded capacity and power costs drove a sharp rotation out of technology.

2026-10-08NORMAL$10,418
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 7, 2026

Rates pressure high-duration equities while new commitments extend the AI capital cycle across accelerators, edge computing, agent commerce and scientific models.

2026-10-07NORMAL$10,594
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 6, 2026

Forward OOS paper portfolio advanced 0.55% over two sessions as AI infrastructure, sovereign deployment and power procurement remained the dominant themes. No trades or signals were generated.

2026-10-06NORMAL$10,645
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — October 5, 2026

Frontier-AI demand remains structurally constructive, but elevated Treasury yields, grid constraints and unconfirmed semiconductor-capacity reports limit conviction.

2026-10-05NORMAL$10,587
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 25, 2026

Agentic AI products supported large-cap technology, while higher rates, geopolitics and data-center permitting constrained the broader risk backdrop.

2026-09-25NORMAL$10,341
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 24, 2026

AI infrastructure remained strategically strong, but rising yields, energy inflation and geopolitical risk constrained QQQ/SPY. Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and the Google–SpaceX orbital-compute test supplied the principal company-specific developments.

2026-09-24NORMAL$10,334
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 23, 2026

Rates overwhelmed selective AI product catalysts. The frozen Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 paper portfolio declined 1.06% over two sessions, with no signals or trades.

2026-09-23NORMAL$10,277
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 22, 2026

AI risk appetite recovered, led by agent adoption and semiconductors, while rates, energy and geopolitical constraints remained material. Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 stayed frozen; no signals or trades were generated.

2026-09-22NORMAL$10,387
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Community Market Report — September 21, 2026

AI leadership recovered as oil and Treasury yields eased. Meta adoption, TSMC packaging capacity and AWS enterprise deployment were constructive; Google agent-security reporting and persistent rate risk tempered the signal.

2026-09-21NORMAL$10,384
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 18, 2026

AI infrastructure remained resilient despite a 5% Treasury yield, tighter monetary policy and rising regulatory risk. SpaceX received a material NASA award; Nvidia and Broadcom reiterated strong accelerator demand, while Huawei intensified competitive pressure.

2026-09-18NORMAL$10,102
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 17, 2026

Technology-led relief rally; AI power infrastructure advances while safety and ratepayer policy risks remain unresolved.

2026-09-17NORMAL$10,081
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 16, 2026

Fed tightening pressured duration assets while new AI monetization, power-flexibility and orbital-infrastructure developments supported selected portfolio exposures.

2026-09-16NORMAL$9,909
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 15, 2026

Frontier-AI safety concerns repriced the intelligence capital stack as rising oil and Treasury yields tightened financial conditions ahead of the September 16 Federal Reserve decision.

2026-09-15NORMAL$9,891
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 14, 2026

Frontier-AI safety warnings triggered a sharp rotation from accelerators toward selected hyperscalers, while a near-5% Treasury yield and elevated oil prices pressured QQQ.

2026-09-14NORMAL$9,959
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 11, 2026

AI infrastructure demand remains firm, led by TSMC revenue, hyperscaler capacity plans and physical-AI deployment. Macro conditions improved on easing oil and an inflation report near expectations, although rate and policy uncertainty remains elevated.

2026-09-11NORMAL$10,027
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Community Market Report — September 10, 2026

AI infrastructure fundamentals remained constructive, but oil, inflation and Treasury yields pressured duration-sensitive equities. The frozen Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 paper portfolio declined 0.55% over two sessions, outperforming QQQ by 51 basis points and SPY by 5 basis points.

2026-09-10NORMAL$9,952
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 9, 2026

Frontier agents and AI-infrastructure commitments advanced, while oil, rates and geopolitical risk pressured the broad US market.

2026-09-09NORMAL$10,007
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Market Report — September 8, 2026

Frontier-agent launches and custom-silicon expansion support the AI demand thesis, while energy inflation, export-control pressure and data-center execution constraints limit risk appetite.

2026-09-08NORMAL$10,013
DAILY

AGI Hedge Club Daily Community Market Report — Launch Baseline, September 4, 2026

Official baseline for the frozen Deep Defense v3 85/65/40 forward OOS paper model. One market session; no performance, signals or trades are claimed.

2026-09-04NORMAL$10,000